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Model Context Protocol · Streamable HTTP · Kalshi-primary

Prediction Markets MCP Server

PredictionMarketsPicks — published by The 7 Oracles — exposes its quant toolkit as an MCP server, so an AI agent can call our calculators instead of scraping the site. Connect Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini, Cursor, or Copilot and run expected-value, Kelly sizing, Bayesian updates, odds conversion, and base-rate checks on any Kalshi or Polymarket contract directly in the chat.

Quick Answer

the PredictionMarketsPicks MCP server lets an AI agent call our prediction-market quant tools directly. Add the remote server at https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp to any MCP client (Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor, Copilot). The Phase 1 calculator tools — EV edge, Kelly sizing, Bayesian update, odds conversion, base-rate gap — are free, no key required.

Browse the tools on-site →

Connect your agent

Add this remote MCP server (Streamable HTTP transport). No API key is needed for the free calculator tools.

Server URL

https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp

Claude Code (CLI)

claude mcp add --transport http predictionmarketspicks https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp

Claude Desktop · Claude.ai · ChatGPT · Cursor (custom connector)

Add this URL as a custom connector / remote MCP server: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp

Generic Streamable-HTTP config (for clients that take JSON)

{
"mcpServers": {
"predictionmarketspicks": {
"type": "streamable-http",
"url": "https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp"
}
}
}

No API key is needed for the six free calculator tools. Pro tools take a PredictionMarketsPicks API key as an Authorization: Bearer header. The manifest lives at /.well-known/mcp/server.json.

Free tools (no key)

Stateless calculators. Each returns structured numbers plus a link to the full interactive tool on the site.

calculate_ev

Expected-value edge on a contract from its price and your probability, with a BUY / SELL / SKIP signal.

kelly_size

Optimal Kelly position size (full / half / quarter / eighth) for a bankroll, with a risk rating.

bayes_update

Chain one or more pieces of evidence onto a prior to get the posterior probability, step by step.

convert_probability

Convert between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds (odds carry no commas).

base_rate_gap

Compare a market price to a historical base rate and get the gap in points plus sample-size quality.

combo_edge

Grade a same-game combo on EV with a 7-tier verdict + negative-correlation-trap flag. Renders as an interactive card in supported hosts.

Pro tools (API key)

Live-edge signals. Pass a PredictionMarketsPicks Pro key as an Authorization: Bearer header — the same $14.99/mo Pro tier, extended to agents. Every read is served from a 60-second cache, so the tools stay fast under load.

find_arbitrage

Cross-platform price gaps between Kalshi and Polymarket on the same sports contract, with WATCH/ARB signal.

market_pulse

US macro-health composite (0–100) and regime, plus six category scores.

commodity_edge

Today's highest-conviction silver or bitcoin trade signal — side, price, model probability, edge, tier, quarter-Kelly sizing.

scan_mispricings

Polymarket contracts mispriced vs the PMP model, sorted by edge, with direction and Kelly sizing.

Listed on

The PredictionMarketsPicks MCP server is published to the public registries so any agent can discover it.

SmitheryGlamaOfficial MCP Registry manifest

Prediction Markets MCP Server — FAQ

What is the PredictionMarketsPicks MCP server?

It is a Model Context Protocol (MCP) server that exposes PredictionMarketsPicks quant tools as callable functions inside any MCP-compatible AI agent — Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini, Cursor, or Copilot. Instead of scraping the site, an agent can call the expected-value, Kelly sizing, Bayesian update, odds-conversion, and base-rate tools directly and get structured numbers back. It uses the Streamable HTTP transport at https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp.

Is the MCP server free?

Yes — the Phase 1 calculator tools (EV edge, Kelly sizing, Bayesian update, probability/odds conversion, base-rate gap) are free with no API key, rate limited per IP. Live-data edge tools (mispricing scans, arbitrage gaps, commodity edge) are the paid Pro tier ($14.99/mo) and require a PredictionMarketsPicks API key passed by the agent.

How do I connect Claude or ChatGPT to it?

Add the remote MCP server URL https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp to your client. In Claude Desktop or Claude.ai, add it as a custom connector. In ChatGPT, add it under connectors / developer mode. In Cursor or Copilot, add it to your MCP settings JSON with a streamable-http (HTTP) transport pointing at that URL. No key is needed for the free calculator tools.

What can the tools actually do?

calculate_ev returns the percentage edge and a BUY/SELL/SKIP signal for a contract given its price and your probability. kelly_size returns the optimal position size for a bankroll. bayes_update chains evidence into a posterior probability. convert_probability moves between implied probability, American odds, and decimal odds. base_rate_gap compares a market price to a historical base rate. Every result links back to the full interactive tool on the site.

Are these prediction markets the same as a sportsbook?

No. Kalshi and Polymarket are CFTC-regulated event-derivative exchanges, not sportsbooks. The MCP tools treat every contract as a probability problem — expected value, calibration, and position sizing — the same quant framework a bond or options desk runs. Educational analysis, not financial advice.

Is there an MCP server for Kalshi and Polymarket?

Yes. The PredictionMarketsPicks MCP server is a prediction-markets MCP for Kalshi and Polymarket. It exposes quant tools an AI agent can call directly — an EV calculator, Kelly sizing, Bayesian updating, probability/odds conversion, base-rate gap analysis, and same-game combo grading — plus Pro edge tools for cross-platform arbitrage, macro pulse, and commodity/mispricing edge. Endpoint: https://predictionmarketspicks.com/api/mcp/mcp (Streamable HTTP).

Is the PredictionMarketsPicks MCP server verified?

Yes. It publishes under the DNS-verified namespace com.predictionmarketspicks/quant on the official Model Context Protocol registry (registry.modelcontextprotocol.io), authenticated by a DNS TXT record on predictionmarketspicks.com. That verified namespace is how AI agents and registries confirm the server is the genuine PredictionMarketsPicks prediction-market tools endpoint.

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Every result links back to the full interactive tool on the site."}]]}],["$","div","Are these prediction markets the same as a sportsbook?",{"children":[["$","h3",null,{"className":"text-sm font-bold text-khaki-dark mb-1","children":"Are these prediction markets the same as a sportsbook?"}],["$","p",null,{"className":"text-sm text-khaki leading-relaxed","children":"No. Kalshi and Polymarket are CFTC-regulated event-derivative exchanges, not sportsbooks. The MCP tools treat every contract as a probability problem — expected value, calibration, and position sizing — the same quant framework a bond or options desk runs. Educational analysis, not financial advice."}]]}],["$","div","Is there an MCP server for Kalshi and Polymarket?",{"children":["$L39","$L3a"]}],"$L3b"]}]]}]\n"]) (Streamable HTTP)."}]\n3b:["$","div","Is the PredictionMarketsPicks MCP server verified?",{"children":[["$","h3",null,{"className":"text-sm font-bold text-khaki-dark mb-1","children":"Is the PredictionMarketsPicks MCP server verified?"}],["$","p",null,{"className":"text-sm text-khaki leading-relaxed","children":"Yes. It publishes under the DNS-verified namespace com.predictionmarketspicks/quant on the official Model Context Protocol registry (registry.modelcontextprotocol.io), authenticated by a DNS TXT record on predictionmarketspicks.com. That verified namespace is how AI agents and registries confirm the server is the genuine PredictionMarketsPicks prediction-market tools endpoint."}]]}]\n3c:["$","span",null,{"className":"text-khaki group-hover:text-khaki-dark transition-colors","children":"See today's DraftKings Predict markets →"}]\n3d:["$","$L18","/tools/combo-builder",{"href":"/tools/combo-builder","className":"flex items-center gap-2 px-3 py-2 rounded-lg border border-warm-gray hover:border-oracle-gold/40 hover:bg-oracle-gold-faint transition-colors group","children":["$","span",null,{"className":"text-khaki group-hover:text-khaki-dark transition-colors","children":"Use the free Kalshi Combo Builder →"}]}]\n3e:["$","$L18","/tools/probability-converter",{"href":"/tools/probability-converter","className":"flex items-center gap-2 px-3 py-2 rounded-lg border border-warm-gray hover:border-oracle-gold/40 hover:bg-oracle-gold-faint transition-colors group","children":["$","span",null,{"className":"text-khaki group-hover:text-khaki-dark transition-colors","children":"Convert Kalshi prices to probabilities →"}]}]\n3f:["$","$L18","/compare/kalshi-vs-polymarket",{"href":"/compare/kalshi-vs-polymarket","className":"flex items-center gap-2 px-3 py-2 rounded-lg border border-warm-gray hover:border-oracle-gold/40 hover:bg-oracle-gold-faint transition-colors group","children":["$","span",null,{"className":"text-khaki group-hover:text-khaki-dark transition-colors","children":"Kalshi vs Polymarket: full comparison →"}]}]\n"]) Markets MCP Server — Kalshi Quant Tools for AI Agents"}],["$","meta","6",{"property":"og:description","content":"Call PredictionMarketsPicks quant tools — EV edge, Kelly sizing, Bayesian updates, odds conversion, base-rate gaps — from any MCP client."}],["$","meta","7",{"property":"og:url","content":"https://predictionmarketspicks.com/mcp"}],["$","meta","8",{"property":"og:image","content":"https://predictionmarketspicks.com/og-image.png"}],["$","meta","9",{"property":"og:image:width","content":"1200"}],["$","meta","10",{"property":"og:image:height","content":"630"}],["$","meta","11",{"property":"og:image:alt","content":"Prediction Markets MCP Server — PredictionMarketsPicks"}],["$","meta","12",{"name":"twitter:card","content":"summary_large_image"}],["$","meta","13",{"name":"twitter:title","content":"Prediction Markets MCP Server — Kalshi Quant Tools for AI Agents"}],["$","meta","14",{"name":"twitter:description","content":"Call PredictionMarketsPicks quant tools — EV edge, Kelly sizing, Bayesian updates, odds conversion, base-rate gaps — from any MCP client."}],["$","meta","15",{"name":"twitter:image","content":"https://predictionmarketspicks.com/og-image.png"}],["$","link","16",{"rel":"icon","href":"/favicon.ico?favicon.0l8f06p8xeocx.ico?dpl=dpl_5jH59ktht982G1d8kEb1V7KJxEAq","sizes":"16x16","type":"image/x-icon"}],["$","link","17",{"rel":"icon","href":"/favicon.ico","sizes":"16x16 32x32 48x48"}],["$","link","18",{"rel":"icon","href":"/favicon-32x32.png","sizes":"32x32","type":"image/png"}],["$","link","19",{"rel":"apple-touch-icon","href":"/apple-touch-icon.png"}],["$","$L42","20",{}]]\n"])